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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Creekbend Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lakeland

Tract 12105011901 · Polk, FL · pop 5,090 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 12105011901 sits in the Creekbend area of Lakeland eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 21% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,991
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$53,009

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Creekbend
Moderate
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 39 tracts In Lakeland
Very High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#32 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,428 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeland and the region

Centroid at 27.9782, -81.9699 · click any tract to drill in

Why Creekbend scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,220 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5

How Creekbend compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Creekbend risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0119013.3Lakelandparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 576Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 5.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.9%Peak (2005)
  • 16Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105011901
Filings dropped 52% over the past 17 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Creekbend

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Cost burden runs 54% here against 45.8% across Polk County. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.0% against 11.3% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 576 evictions over 17 years of observation.

It sits 0.8 points above the Polk County average of 3.9. Average gross rent is $1,220, 13% below the Lakeland average.

Filings peaked in 2005 at 9.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 8.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $53,009.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105011901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105011901?

Census tract 12105011901 in the Creekbend neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105011901?

Median gross rent is $1,220/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105011901?

25.6% of residents in tract 12105011901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,090.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105011901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 95th, minority 68th, housing 61th.
Q5

Is tract 12105011901 considered part of Creekbend?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12105011901 fall within Creekbend (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105011901?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 576 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105011901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.46% of renter households, peaking at 9.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12105011901 compare to Lakeland overall?

Tract 12105011901 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland

Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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