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Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeland Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105011300 · Polk, FL · pop 1,841

Tract 12105011300 sits in Lakeland eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. Population here is 1,841. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 8% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units699
Renter share37.2%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate30.9%
Median income$44,779

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 39 tracts In Lakeland
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#31 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,428 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,882 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeland and the region

Centroid at 28.0629, -81.9523 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeland scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.9% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$1,133 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5

How Lakeland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeland risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0113003.3Lakelandparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 486Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 9.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.1%Peak (2002)
  • 20Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105011300
Filings dropped 20% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeland

Cost burden runs 79% here against 45.8% across Polk County. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10.

Average gross rent is $1,133, 19% below the Lakeland average. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.7% against 11.3% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 486 evictions over 17 years of observation.

Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Filings peaked in 2002 at 17.1% of renter households.

In a typical year about 9.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 55th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $44,779.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105011300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105011300?

Census tract 12105011300 in Lakeland scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105011300?

Median gross rent is $1,133/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105011300?

30.9% of residents in tract 12105011300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,841.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105011300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 98th, minority 69th, housing 80th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105011300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 486 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105011300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.06% of renter households, peaking at 17.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105011300 compare to Lakeland overall?

Tract 12105011300 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland

Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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