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Census Tract · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeland Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105012309 · Polk, FL · pop 2,235 · 22% of tract blocks fall in Lakeland

Census tract 12105012309 runs through Lakeland in Polk County. With 2,235 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 12% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 12% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,125 a month while the average household earns $59,615 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 4% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 4% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units758
Renter share4.5%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate35.9%
Median income$59,615

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 39 tracts In Lakeland
High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#523 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#22,213 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeland and the region

Centroid at 28.2055, -81.8944 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeland scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
35.9% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,125 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5

How Lakeland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 012309Lakeland: 2.52.5Lakelandparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 54Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 8.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.0%Peak (2015)
  • 6Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050123092000: 2 filings (9.76/100 renter HHs)2001: 3 filings (14.64/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (14.64/100 renter HHs)2003: 2 filings (9.76/100 renter HHs)2004: 3 filings (14.64/100 renter HHs)2005: 4 filings (13.32/100 renter HHs)2007: 5 filings (16.65/100 renter HHs)2008: 3 filings (9.99/100 renter HHs)2009: 4 filings (13.32/100 renter HHs)2010: 1 filings (1.33/100 renter HHs)2011: 1 filings (1.14/100 renter HHs)2012: 2 filings (2.27/100 renter HHs)2013: 2 filings (2.27/100 renter HHs)2014: 3 filings (3.41/100 renter HHs)2015: 7 filings (7.95/100 renter HHs)2016: 3 filings (5.77/100 renter HHs)2017: 6 filings (11.54/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeland

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Polk County average of 5.0 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 54 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 9.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.0% of renter households in 2015.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012309

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012309?

Census tract 12105012309 in Lakeland scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105012309?

Median gross rent is $1,125/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 12% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012309?

35.9% of residents in tract 12105012309 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,235.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012309?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 43th, minority 17th, housing 22th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105012309?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 54 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105012309 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.97% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105012309 compare to Lakeland overall?

Tract 12105012309 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland

Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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