Within parent city
84
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Lakeland Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105011203 · Polk, FL · pop 3,250
Census tract 12105011203 covers part of Lakeland, FL, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,275
Renter share74.0%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate37.0%
Median income$32,536
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakeland and the region
Centroid at 28.0683, -81.9666 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakeland scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
37.0% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$992 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
How Lakeland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,125Total filings over 17 yrs
- 8.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.7%Peak (2000)
- 46Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakeland
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 49.8% against 31.5% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $32,536 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. At $992 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Lakeland commands. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 24.8% against 11.3% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,125 filings here across 17 tracked years.
Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105011203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105011203?
Census tract 12105011203 in Lakeland scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105011203?
Median gross rent is $992/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105011203?
37.0% of residents in tract 12105011203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,250.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105011203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 92th, minority 89th, housing 96th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105011203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,125 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105011203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.67% of renter households, peaking at 13.7% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105011203 compare to Lakeland overall?
Tract 12105011203 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland
Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12105012309
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105016400
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Creekbend
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105010800
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105012002
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105011000
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105011100
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105011204
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
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