Census Tract · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Lakeland Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105011203 ·
Polk, FL · pop 3,250
For landlords sizing up Lakeland in Polk County, census tract 12105011203 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of $1/10. That is riskier than roughly 39% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $992 a month while the average household earns $32,536 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 74% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%Stable renters 41%Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,275
Renter share74.0%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate37.0%
Median income$32,536
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 39 tracts In Lakeland
Very High
Within county
100th percentile
#1 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very High
Within state
97th percentile
#175 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
83th percentile
#14,316 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakeland and the region
Centroid at 28.0683, -81.9666 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakeland scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
37.0% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$992 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
How Lakeland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
91%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,125 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 8.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.7% of renter households in 2000.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105011203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105011203?
Census tract 12105011203 in Lakeland scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105011203?
Median gross rent is $992/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105011203?
37.0% of residents in tract 12105011203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,250.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105011203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 92th, minority 89th, housing 96th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105011203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,125 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105011203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.67% of renter households, peaking at 13.7% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105011203 compare to Lakeland overall?
Tract 12105011203 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland
Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.