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Census Tract · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeland Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105011204 · Polk, FL · pop 1,425

The Moderate-tier score of 4.5/10 for census tract 12105011204 reflects conditions in Lakeland in Polk County, Florida. On the national scale it ranks #64,275 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 28% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $982 a month while the average household earns $29,500 a year, roughly 40% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 45% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units614
Renter share62.4%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate57.1%
Median income$29,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 39 tracts In Lakeland
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#279 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#16,850 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeland and the region

Centroid at 28.0729, -81.9766 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeland scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
57.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$982 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5

How Lakeland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 011204Lakeland: 2.52.5Lakelandparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 659Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 15.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 36.0%Peak (2001)
  • 31Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050112042000: 60 filings (27.30/100 renter HHs)2001: 79 filings (35.95/100 renter HHs)2002: 67 filings (30.49/100 renter HHs)2003: 46 filings (20.93/100 renter HHs)2004: 31 filings (14.11/100 renter HHs)2005: 27 filings (13.67/100 renter HHs)2007: 47 filings (23.79/100 renter HHs)2008: 54 filings (27.33/100 renter HHs)2009: 42 filings (21.26/100 renter HHs)2010: 29 filings (7.80/100 renter HHs)2011: 33 filings (8.87/100 renter HHs)2012: 17 filings (4.57/100 renter HHs)2013: 33 filings (8.87/100 renter HHs)2014: 19 filings (5.11/100 renter HHs)2015: 23 filings (6.18/100 renter HHs)2016: 21 filings (5.06/100 renter HHs)2017: 31 filings (7.47/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeland

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Polk County average of 5.0 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 659 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 15.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 36.0% of renter households in 2001.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105011204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105011204?

Census tract 12105011204 in Lakeland scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105011204?

Median gross rent is $982/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105011204?

57.1% of residents in tract 12105011204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,425.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105011204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 80th, minority 93th, housing 64th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105011204?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 659 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105011204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.81% of renter households, peaking at 36.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105011204 compare to Lakeland overall?

Tract 12105011204 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland

Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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