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Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeland Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105011204 · Polk, FL · pop 1,425

12105011204 is a census tract in Lakeland, FL. It scores 4.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,425. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Polk County average of 45.8%.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 45% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units614
Renter share62.4%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate57.1%
Median income$29,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 39 tracts In Lakeland
High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#33 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,428 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,882 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeland and the region

Centroid at 28.0729, -81.9766 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeland scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
57.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$982 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5

How Lakeland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeland risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0112043.3Lakelandparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 659Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 15.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 36.0%Peak (2001)
  • 31Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105011204
Filings dropped 48% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeland

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 57%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Disability prevalence runs 52.8% against 31.5% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $29,500 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $982, 30% below the Lakeland average.

Adults with no health insurance runs 27.6% against 11.3% nationally. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 659 filings here across 17 tracked years.

Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105011204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105011204?

Census tract 12105011204 in Lakeland scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105011204?

Median gross rent is $982/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105011204?

57.1% of residents in tract 12105011204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,425.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105011204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 80th, minority 93th, housing 64th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105011204?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 659 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105011204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.81% of renter households, peaking at 36.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105011204 compare to Lakeland overall?

Tract 12105011204 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland

Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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