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Census Tract · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeland Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105012126 · Polk, FL · pop 4,700 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Lakeland

With a score of 3.5/10, tract 12105012126 in Lakeland ranks in the Lower tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,700 residents. That is riskier than roughly 6% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 19% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,787 monthly, set against $74,788 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 12% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,852
Renter share14.5%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$74,788

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 39 tracts In Lakeland
Very Low
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#136 of 174 tracts In Polk
Low
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#3,043 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
National
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#58,384 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeland and the region

Centroid at 28.0853, -81.9857 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeland scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,787 rent vs county FMR
8.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5

How Lakeland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 012126Lakeland: 2.52.5Lakelandparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 162Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 3.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.0%Peak (2007)
  • 11Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050121262000: 12 filings (6.71/100 renter HHs)2001: 13 filings (7.27/100 renter HHs)2002: 6 filings (3.36/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (1.68/100 renter HHs)2004: 4 filings (2.24/100 renter HHs)2005: 4 filings (0.67/100 renter HHs)2007: 18 filings (3.01/100 renter HHs)2008: 16 filings (2.68/100 renter HHs)2009: 7 filings (1.17/100 renter HHs)2010: 12 filings (8.05/100 renter HHs)2011: 7 filings (3.26/100 renter HHs)2012: 9 filings (4.19/100 renter HHs)2013: 7 filings (3.26/100 renter HHs)2014: 13 filings (6.05/100 renter HHs)2015: 11 filings (5.12/100 renter HHs)2016: 9 filings (2.92/100 renter HHs)2017: 11 filings (3.57/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeland

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 8.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well below the Polk County average of 5.0 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 162 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 3.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.0% of renter households in 2007.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012126

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012126?

Census tract 12105012126 in Lakeland scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105012126?

Median gross rent is $1,787/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012126?

2.6% of residents in tract 12105012126 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,700.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012126?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 77th, minority 58th, housing 14th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105012126?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 162 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105012126 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.84% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105012126 compare to Lakeland overall?

Tract 12105012126 scores 3/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland

Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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