Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeland Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105016400 · Polk, FL · pop 2,269

Tract 12105016400 sits in Lakeland eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.7/10.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 41% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,081
Renter share85.6%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate38.9%
Median income$40,121

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 39 tracts In Lakeland
High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,428 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,882 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeland and the region

Centroid at 28.0482, -81.9547 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeland scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
38.9% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$1,084 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5

How Lakeland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeland risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0164003.3Lakelandparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,749Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 11.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 28.0%Peak (2002)
  • 63Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105016400
Filings dropped 66% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeland

The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 86% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Set annual rent against average income of $40,121 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,084, 22% below the Lakeland average. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.2% against 11.3% nationally.

Against Polk County at 45.8%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened. Court records carry 1,749 eviction filings across 17 observed years.

Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Filings peaked in 2002 at 28.0% of renter households.

In a typical year about 11.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105016400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105016400?

Census tract 12105016400 in Lakeland scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105016400?

Median gross rent is $1,084/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105016400?

38.9% of residents in tract 12105016400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,269.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105016400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 64th, minority 72th, housing 94th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105016400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,749 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105016400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.84% of renter households, peaking at 28.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105016400 compare to Lakeland overall?

Tract 12105016400 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland

Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related