Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Laurel Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12115002203 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,085 · 52% of tract blocks fall in Laurel
Census tract 12115002203 covers part of Laurel, FL, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,085 residents. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,841
Renter share30.3%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$62,904
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
National
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Laurel and the region
Centroid at 27.1238, -82.4390 · click any tract to drill in
Why Laurel scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Laurel
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,394 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Laurel
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Laurel
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Laurel
4.3
How Laurel compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 157Total filings over 5 yrs
- 7.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.6%Peak (2002)
- 26Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Laurel
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.
60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Sarasota County average of 50.3%. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. Court records carry 157 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2002 at 10.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 6.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Sarasota County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,394, close to the Laurel average.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $62,904. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115002203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002203?
Census tract 12115002203 in Laurel scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115002203?
Median gross rent is $1,394/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002203?
13.5% of residents in tract 12115002203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,085.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 82th, minority 34th, housing 47th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 157 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115002203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.01% of renter households, peaking at 10.6% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12115002203 compare to Laurel overall?
Tract 12115002203 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Laurel at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Laurel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Laurel
Top eight tracts in Laurel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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