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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Palmer Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12115002016 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,849 · 33% of tract blocks fall in Palmer Ranch

12115002016 is a census tract in Palmer Ranch, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. 27% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Sarasota County average of 50.3%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 9% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,281
Renter share13.0%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$114,107

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Palmer Ranch
Low
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#112 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palmer Ranch and the region

Centroid at 27.2509, -82.4883 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palmer Ranch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,730 rent vs county FMR
9.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palmer Ranch
4.8

How Palmer Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palmer Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0020163.5Palmer Ranchparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palmer Ranch

At $2,730 a month, rents run 52% over what the rest of Palmer Ranch commands. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.8/10. The voucher gap is 47.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 0.8 points below the Sarasota County average of 3.8.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002016

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002016?

Census tract 12115002016 in Palmer Ranch scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115002016?

Median gross rent is $2,730/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002016?

3.8% of residents in tract 12115002016 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,849.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002016?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 42th, minority 13th, housing 5th.
Q5

How does tract 12115002016 compare to Palmer Ranch overall?

Tract 12115002016 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Palmer Ranch at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palmer Ranch; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palmer Ranch

Top eight tracts in Palmer Ranch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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