Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Mānoa Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003002701 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,712 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The Lower Mānoa neighborhood of Urban Honolulu is where census tract 15003002701 sits, home to 3,712 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #45,014 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,818 a month against an average household income of $74,302 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 74% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 44% Owners 26%

Tract context

Occupied units790

Renter share74.2%

SVI overall0.62

Poverty rate16.9%

Median income$74,302

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.2978, -157.8160 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Mānoa scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Hawaii legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

16.9% poverty · this tract

4.2

Supply constraint

$1,818 rent vs county FMR

1.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.6

How Lower Mānoa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

59%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lower Mānoa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.1%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
20.6%Food insecurity
13.4%SNAP enrollment
10.3%Transit barriers
5.5%No health insurance
21.6%Frequent mental distress
28.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Mānoa

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and in line with the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003002701

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003002701?

Census tract 15003002701 in the Lower Mānoa neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 15003002701?

Median gross rent is $1,818/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003002701?

16.9% of residents in tract 15003002701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,712.

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003002701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 4th, minority 83th, housing 94th.

Is tract 15003002701 considered part of Lower Mānoa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003002701 fall within Lower Mānoa (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 15003002701 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 15003002701 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003002701 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.