Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Mānoa Eviction Risk: High , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003002701 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,712 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
15003002701 is a census tract in the Lower Mānoa area of Urban Honolulu, HI. It scores 8/10 for landlords. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units790
Renter share74.2%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$74,302
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
99
th percentile
Very High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.2978, -157.8160 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Mānoa scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,818 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Lower Mānoa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Mānoa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.6%Food insecurity
- 13.4%SNAP enrollment
- 10.3%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 21.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Mānoa
It sits 2.0 points above the Honolulu County average of 6.0. 74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Against Honolulu County at 50.9%, 40% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.6/10.
Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,818, close to the Urban Honolulu average.
Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $74,302.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003002701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003002701?
Census tract 15003002701 in the Lower Mānoa neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003002701?
Median gross rent is $1,818/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003002701?
16.9% of residents in tract 15003002701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,712.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003002701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 4th, minority 83th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 15003002701 considered part of Lower Mānoa?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003002701 fall within Lower Mānoa (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003002701 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003002701 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003002701 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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