Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Brainerd Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031720200 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,097 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 17031720200 covers part of the Brainerd area of Chicago, IL, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,097. Cost burden runs 19% here against 45.6% across Cook County.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,547
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$121,080
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7130, -87.6661 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brainerd scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$995 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Brainerd compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 17%Grade B
- 73%Grade C
- 10%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 305Total filings over 15 yrs
- 5.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.2%Peak (2005)
- 23Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brainerd. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.8%Food insecurity
- 11.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 13.5%Frequent mental distress
- 23.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brainerd
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
At $995 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Court records carry 305 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2005, when 8.2% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031720200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031720200?
Census tract 17031720200 in the Brainerd neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031720200?
Median gross rent is $995/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031720200?
2.6% of residents in tract 17031720200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,097.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031720200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 28th, minority 71th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 17031720200 considered part of Brainerd?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031720200 fall within Brainerd (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031720200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 305 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031720200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.14% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031720200 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031720200 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031720200 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031720200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 10% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
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Jackson Park Highlands District
8.1
/ 10 · High
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Jeffery Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Auburn Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
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South Branch Addition
8.1
/ 10 · High
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Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
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Bryn Mawr East
8.1
/ 10 · High
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Philip Murray Homes
8.1
/ 10 · High
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