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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Bucktown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Tract 17031832300 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,938 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 5.3/10, tract 17031832300 in the Bucktown area of Chicago, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,938 residents. Average gross rent is $2,183, 52% above the Chicago average.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 40% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,146
Renter share65.4%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$131,212

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Bucktown
Very Low
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#681 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very Low
Within county
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#988 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Low
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#1,346 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9198, -87.6728 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bucktown scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$2,183 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Bucktown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bucktown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 832300Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 75Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 0.96%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.7%Peak (2003)
  • 1Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318323002001: 6 filings (1.15/100 renter HHs)2002: 8 filings (1.54/100 renter HHs)2003: 9 filings (1.73/100 renter HHs)2004: 4 filings (0.77/100 renter HHs)2005: 5 filings (0.87/100 renter HHs)2006: 3 filings (0.52/100 renter HHs)2007: 5 filings (0.87/100 renter HHs)2008: 3 filings (0.52/100 renter HHs)2009: 5 filings (0.87/100 renter HHs)2010: 9 filings (1.72/100 renter HHs)2011: 6 filings (1.25/100 renter HHs)2012: 6 filings (1.25/100 renter HHs)2013: 3 filings (0.63/100 renter HHs)2014: 2 filings (0.42/100 renter HHs)2015: 1 filings (0.21/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 83% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bucktown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bucktown

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

The voucher gap is 24.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10.

Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Cook County average of 45.6%. Food insecurity runs 8.5% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 6.3% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 75 filings here across 15 tracked years.

It sits 0.8 points below the Cook County average of 6.1. The worst year on record was 2003, when 1.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031832300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031832300?

Census tract 17031832300 in the Bucktown neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031832300?

Median gross rent is $2,183/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031832300?

8.3% of residents in tract 17031832300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,938.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031832300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 2th, minority 52th, housing 44th.
Q5

Is tract 17031832300 considered part of Bucktown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031832300 fall within Bucktown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031832300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 75 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031832300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.96% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031832300 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031832300 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031832300 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031832300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 42% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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