Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Cabrini-Green Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031081000 · Cook County, IL · pop 8,150 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 17031081000 sits in the Cabrini-Green area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7/10. Population here is 8,150. This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 48%
Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units5,415
Renter share87.7%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate14.8%
Median income$81,616
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9003, -87.6321 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cabrini-Green scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
14.8% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,739 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Cabrini-Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,598Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.2%Peak (2003)
- 63Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 51% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cabrini-Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.3%Food insecurity
- 9.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 22.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cabrini-Green
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Average gross rent is $1,739, 21% above the Chicago average.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,598 filings here across 15 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2003 at 4.2% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.9 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031081000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031081000?
Census tract 17031081000 in the Cabrini-Green neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031081000?
Median gross rent is $1,739/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031081000?
14.8% of residents in tract 17031081000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,150.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031081000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 15th, minority 52th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 17031081000 considered part of Cabrini-Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031081000 fall within Cabrini-Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031081000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,598 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031081000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.80% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031081000 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031081000 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031081000 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031081000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Cheltenham
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mayfair
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Park Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
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