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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Essex Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 2,999 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.1/10 · range 8.1–8.1

Essex maps to a single census tract in Chicago, IL and houses 2,999 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 8.1/10, High tier. The severe-burden share is 46%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Cost burden runs 71% against 29.3% citywide, putting Essex 41.9% over its own city. Set annual rent against average household income of $38,034 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Food insecurity affects 35.0% of adults, 17.2 points above the national rate.

19.3% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 26%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. Court records for this tract carry 792 eviction filings. Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

At $1,270 a month, rents sit 12% under what the rest of Chicago commands. The worst year on record was 2001, when filings touched 9.8% of renter households.

One tract means one number: 8.1/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8.1
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Essex vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
71.2% +143%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,270 -12%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$38,034 -49%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
25.7% +53%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
65.1% +21%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Essex and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 8.1–8.1

Why Essex scores 8.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
71% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
65% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
25.7% below poverty line · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Essex vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Essex score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Essex: 8.18.1EssexNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Essex

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031430400 8.1 2,999 71% $1,270
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 89

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 79%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 57%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 96%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 96%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Essex

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 792Total filings (sum)
  • 8.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.8%Peak year (2001)
  • 7.62%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Essex

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Essex

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Essex?

Essex scores 8.1/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Essex compare to Chicago overall?

Essex scores 1.4 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 71% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,270 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Essex?

Average gross rent in Essex is $1,270/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Essex residents are renters?

65% of Essex households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 2,999 residents.
Q5

Is Essex a high social-vulnerability area?

Essex sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Essex for landlords?

Essex carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Essex?

Essex has 2,974 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (89.7%), Other / Multiracial (4.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Essex

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Essex.

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