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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Essex Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 2,999 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.1/10 · range 8.1–8.1

Essex maps to a single census tract in Chicago, IL and houses 2,999 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 8.1/10, High tier. The severe-burden share is 46%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Cost burden runs 71% against 29.3% citywide, putting Essex 41.9% over its own city. Set annual rent against average household income of $38,034 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Food insecurity affects 35.0% of adults, 17.2 points above the national rate.

19.3% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 26%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. Court records for this tract carry 792 eviction filings. Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

At $1,270 a month, rents sit 12% under what the rest of Chicago commands. The worst year on record was 2001, when filings touched 9.8% of renter households.

One tract means one number: 8.1/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8.1
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Essex vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
71.2% +143%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,270 -12%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$38,034 -49%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
25.7% +53%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
65.1% +21%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Essex and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 8.1–8.1

Why Essex scores 8.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
71% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
65% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
25.7% below poverty line · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Essex vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Essex score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.1EssexNeighborhood6.7Parent cityhost city5.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Essex

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
17031430400 8.1 2,999 71% $1,270
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 89

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 79%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 57%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 96%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 96%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Essex

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 792Total filings (sum)
  • 8.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.8%Peak year (2001)
  • 7.62%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Essex

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Essex

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Essex?

Essex scores 8.1/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Essex compare to Chicago overall?

Essex scores 1.4 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 71% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,270 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Essex?

Average gross rent in Essex is $1,270/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Essex residents are renters?

65% of Essex households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 2,999 residents.
Q5

Is Essex a high social-vulnerability area?

Essex sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Essex for landlords?

Essex carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Essex?

Essex has 2,974 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (89.7%), Other / Multiracial (4.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Essex

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Essex.

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