River West Eviction Risk: Moderate

The voucher gap is 46.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 9.6/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.1/10.

Disability prevalence reaches 13.8% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

23% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, under the Chicago rate of 29.3%. Severe burden reaches 14%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The filing record is not thin: 275 evictions logged in this tract. The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 3.9% of renter households. 5.1% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

The most recent observed rate, 1.7% in 2015, is well off that peak. That places it #168 of 187 neighborhoods in Chicago.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Lakeshore East and Magnolia Glen. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.