Jackson Park Highlands District Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Food insecurity runs 38.4% against 17.8% nationally. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Average gross rent is $933, 35% below the Chicago average.

80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $34,072, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The filing record is not thin: 2,131 evictions over 15 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2002, when 11.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.