Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Mayfair Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031140602 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,703 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031140602 in the Mayfair area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,703. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 48%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,706
Renter share76.4%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate24.4%
Median income$67,321
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9647, -87.7210 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mayfair scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
24.4% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,510 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Mayfair compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 485Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.6%Peak (2014)
- 39Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 30% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mayfair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.0%Housing insecurity
- 13.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.3%Food insecurity
- 24.7%SNAP enrollment
- 13.3%Transit barriers
- 19.7%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 29.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mayfair
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. 76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. 37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Cook County average of 45.6%. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Food insecurity runs 29.3% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 485 filings here across 15 tracked years.
Adults with no health insurance runs 19.7% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2014 at 3.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031140602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031140602?
Census tract 17031140602 in the Mayfair neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031140602?
Median gross rent is $1,510/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031140602?
24.4% of residents in tract 17031140602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,703.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031140602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 77th, minority 86th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 17031140602 considered part of Mayfair?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031140602 fall within Mayfair (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031140602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 485 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031140602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.97% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031140602 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031140602 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031140602 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031140602 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Brighton
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Edgewater Beach
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Peterson Park (39th Ward)
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Roosevelt Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
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