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Neighborhood · Ranked #25,210 of 84,120 nationally

Church and Dodge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Evanston

Tract 17031809200 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,857 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 17031809200 sits in the Church and Dodge neighborhood of Evanston, Illinois. It has a population of 4,857 and an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). 42% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 14% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,376/month against a median household income of $51,978 — roughly 32% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 30% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,746
Renter share51.9%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate17.3%
Median income$51,978

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 2 tracts In Church and Dodge
Very High
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank — 56th percentileBottomTop
#9 of 19 tracts In Evanston
Elevated
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#663 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank — 74th percentileBottomTop
#843 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Evanston and the region

Centroid at 42.0526, -87.6993 · click any tract to drill in

Why Church and Dodge scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Evanston
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
17.3% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,376 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Evanston
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Evanston
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Evanston
6.1

How Church and Dodge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Church and Dodge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 809200Evanston: 5.95.9Evanstonparent cityCounty: 5.75.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.45.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D — Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 638Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 5.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.9%Peak (2002)
  • 41Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318092002001: 54 filings (6.69/100 renter HHs)2002: 56 filings (6.94/100 renter HHs)2003: 38 filings (4.71/100 renter HHs)2004: 51 filings (6.32/100 renter HHs)2005: 39 filings (4.98/100 renter HHs)2006: 38 filings (4.85/100 renter HHs)2007: 37 filings (4.73/100 renter HHs)2008: 32 filings (4.09/100 renter HHs)2009: 53 filings (6.77/100 renter HHs)2010: 47 filings (5.80/100 renter HHs)2011: 32 filings (3.81/100 renter HHs)2012: 41 filings (4.89/100 renter HHs)2013: 33 filings (3.93/100 renter HHs)2014: 46 filings (5.48/100 renter HHs)2015: 41 filings (4.89/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Church and Dodge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031809200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031809200?

Census tract 17031809200 in the Church and Dodge neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031809200?

Median gross rent is $1,376/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031809200?

17.3% of residents in tract 17031809200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,857.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031809200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 86th, minority 89th, housing 91th.

Q5

Is tract 17031809200 considered part of Church and Dodge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031809200 fall within Church and Dodge (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031809200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 638 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031809200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.26% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 17031809200 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 17031809200 compare to Evanston overall?

Tract 17031809200 scores 5.8/10 — right in line with the parent city of Evanston at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Evanston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 17031809200 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 85% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Evanston

Top eight tracts in Evanston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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