Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Marywood Eviction Risk: Lower , Aurora

Tract 17089852906 · Kane County, IL · pop 5,443 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 17089852906 covers the Marywood neighborhood of Aurora in Illinois. Home to 5,443 residents, it scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #38,988 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,170 a month while the average household earns $67,156 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 18% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,918
Renter share36.9%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$67,156

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Marywood
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 41 tracts In Aurora
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#19 of 104 tracts In Kane County
High
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#1,870 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 41.8008, -88.3057 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marywood scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,170 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
3.5

How Marywood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Marywood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 852906Aurora: 4.24.2Auroraparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 90Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 4.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.5%Peak (2009)
  • 21Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2011
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170898529062009: 41 filings (7.49/100 renter HHs)2010: 28 filings (4.40/100 renter HHs)2011: 21 filings (2.56/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Marywood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marywood

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aurora eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kane County average of 5.3 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17089852906

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089852906?

Census tract 17089852906 in the Marywood neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17089852906?

Median gross rent is $1,170/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17089852906?

15.3% of residents in tract 17089852906 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,443.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17089852906?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 67th, minority 68th, housing 54th.
Q5

Is tract 17089852906 considered part of Marywood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089852906 fall within Marywood (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17089852906?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 90 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 17089852906 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.82% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17089852906 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17089852906 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 17089852906 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Aurora at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17089852906 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related