3 census tracts · pop 16,275 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10
· range 3.8–5.4
Marywood spans 3 census tracts of Aurora, IL and houses 16,275 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.8/10, in the Moderate tier. 42% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Aurora rate of 28.2%.
The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.7/10. At $1,179 a month, rents sit 26% under what the rest of Aurora commands.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.8 to 5.4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Severe burden reaches 17%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10. Filings are well documented here: 371 across 3 observed tracts.
Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.8/10. Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 10.9% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.4% in 2011, is well off that peak.
That places it #4 of 9 neighborhoods in Aurora. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Against average income of $79,540, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion. 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Marywood vs AuroraHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport71%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Marywood
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
371Total filings (sum)
6.71%Avg annual filing rate
10.9%Peak year (2010)
4.45%Latest filed (2011)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Marywood
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
17.8%Housing insecurity
10.1%Utility shutoff threat
21.5%Food insecurity
18.5%SNAP enrollment
17.0%No health insurance
30.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Marywood
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Marywood?
Marywood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Marywood compare to Aurora overall?
Marywood scores 0.8 points higher than Aurora overall (4/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,179 vs $1,596.
Q3
What is the average rent in Marywood?
Average gross rent in Marywood is $1,179/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Marywood residents are renters?
34% of Marywood households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Aurora). The neighborhood has 16,275 residents.
Q5
Is Marywood a high social-vulnerability area?
Marywood sits in the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Marywood have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Marywood is census tract 17089852906 (score 5.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 5.4, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7
How safe is Marywood for landlords?
Marywood carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aurora as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Marywood?
Marywood has 15,614 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (49.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (38.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
