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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Scraper-Moecherville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aurora

Tract 17089852904 · Kane County, IL · pop 2,608 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 17089852904 runs through Scraper-Moecherville in Aurora. With 2,608 residents, it scores 5.7/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 65% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $925 monthly, set against $46,601 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 14% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units563
Renter share36.1%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate26.0%
Median income$46,601

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 10 tracts In Scraper-Moecherville
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 41 tracts In Aurora
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 104 tracts In Kane County
Very High
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#1,262 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 41.7647, -88.2722 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scraper-Moecherville scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
26.0% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$925 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
3.5

How Scraper-Moecherville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Scraper-Moecherville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 852904Aurora: 4.24.2Auroraparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 0.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.1%Peak (2010)
  • 2Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2011
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170898529042009: 1 filings (0.48/100 renter HHs)2010: 2 filings (1.08/100 renter HHs)2011: 2 filings (0.74/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Scraper-Moecherville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Scraper-Moecherville

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aurora eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Kane County average of 5.3 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 31.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17089852904

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089852904?

Census tract 17089852904 in the Scraper-Moecherville neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17089852904?

Median gross rent is $925/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17089852904?

26.0% of residents in tract 17089852904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,608.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17089852904?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 84th, minority 96th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 17089852904 considered part of Scraper-Moecherville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089852904 fall within Scraper-Moecherville (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17089852904?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 17089852904 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.77% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17089852904 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17089852904 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 17089852904 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Aurora at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17089852904 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 41% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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