Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
South Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aurora
Tract 17089854200 · Kane County, IL · pop 4,670 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.5/10 for census tract 17089854200 reflects conditions in South Park in Aurora, Illinois. On the national scale it ranks #35,759 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,227 monthly, set against $58,642 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,313
Renter share35.3%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate25.9%
Median income$58,642
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aurora and the region
Centroid at 41.7445, -88.3159 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Park scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
25.9% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,227 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
How South Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 77%Grade B
- 21%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 108Total filings over 3 yrs
- 7.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.5%Peak (2009)
- 25Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.7%Housing insecurity
- 19.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 42.7%Food insecurity
- 39.9%SNAP enrollment
- 19.7%Transit barriers
- 32.2%No health insurance
- 20.3%Frequent mental distress
- 39.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Park
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aurora eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kane County average of 5.3 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
In CDC survey modeling, about 32.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17089854200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089854200?
Census tract 17089854200 in the South Park neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17089854200?
Median gross rent is $1,227/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17089854200?
25.9% of residents in tract 17089854200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,670.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17089854200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 79th, minority 88th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 17089854200 considered part of South Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089854200 fall within South Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17089854200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 108 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 17089854200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.32% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17089854200 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17089854200 compare to Aurora overall?
Tract 17089854200 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Aurora at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17089854200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aurora
Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Scraper-Moecherville
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Scraper-Moecherville
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
17089853200
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Scraper-Moecherville
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
17089854700
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
Exposition View
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
17089853100
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
Marywood
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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