Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Scraper-Moecherville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aurora

Tract 17089853402 · Kane County, IL · pop 4,541 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 17089853402 in the Scraper-Moecherville area of Aurora, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Adults with no health insurance runs 35.7% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 37% Owners 41%

Tract context

Occupied units1,204

Renter share59.0%

SVI overall0.88

Poverty rate22.1%

Median income$70,813

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 41.7602, -88.3008 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scraper-Moecherville scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Aurora

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

22.1% poverty · this tract

5.5

Supply constraint

$1,178 rent vs county FMR

1.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Aurora

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Aurora

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Aurora

3.5

How Scraper-Moecherville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

98%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
99%Racial/ethnic minority
41%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
95%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Scraper-Moecherville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

33.6%Housing insecurity
18.8%Utility-shutoff threat
43.7%Food insecurity
38.3%SNAP enrollment
19.5%Transit barriers
35.7%No health insurance
19.1%Frequent mental distress
39.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Scraper-Moecherville

SNAP participation runs 38.3% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.7/10. Average gross rent is $1,178, 26% below the Aurora average.

Cost burden runs 37% here against 45.5% across Kane County. Against the Kane County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Aurora. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.9/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $70,813. 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17089853402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089853402?

Census tract 17089853402 in the Scraper-Moecherville neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17089853402?

Median gross rent is $1,178/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17089853402?

22.1% of residents in tract 17089853402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,541.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17089853402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 77th, minority 99th, housing 41th.

Is tract 17089853402 considered part of Scraper-Moecherville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089853402 fall within Scraper-Moecherville (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17089853402 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17089853402 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 17089853402 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17089853402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 95% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.