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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Scraper-Moecherville Eviction Risk: Lower , Aurora

Tract 17089853402 · Kane County, IL · pop 4,541 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 17089853402 covers the Scraper-Moecherville neighborhood of Aurora, home to 4,541 residents. For landlords it grades 5.2/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 46th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,178 a month while the average household earns $70,813 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 37% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,204
Renter share59.0%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate22.1%
Median income$70,813

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 10 tracts In Scraper-Moecherville
High
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 41 tracts In Aurora
Very High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 104 tracts In Kane County
Very High
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#1,612 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 41.7602, -88.3008 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scraper-Moecherville scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
22.1% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,178 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
3.5

How Scraper-Moecherville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Scraper-Moecherville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 853402Aurora: 4.24.2Auroraparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Scraper-Moecherville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Scraper-Moecherville

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aurora eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kane County average of 5.3 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 33.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17089853402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089853402?

Census tract 17089853402 in the Scraper-Moecherville neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17089853402?

Median gross rent is $1,178/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17089853402?

22.1% of residents in tract 17089853402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,541.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17089853402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 77th, minority 99th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 17089853402 considered part of Scraper-Moecherville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089853402 fall within Scraper-Moecherville (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17089853402 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17089853402 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 17089853402 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Aurora at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17089853402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 95% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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