Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Aurora Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 17089853200 · Kane County, IL · pop 5,861
Census tract 17089853200 covers part of Aurora, IL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Kane County at 45.5%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,916
Renter share62.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate21.3%
Median income$50,986
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aurora and the region
Centroid at 41.7658, -88.3204 · click any tract to drill in
Why Aurora scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
21.3% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,412 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
How Aurora compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 19%Grade B
- 47%Grade C
- 21%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 123Total filings over 3 yrs
- 3.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.2%Peak (2011)
- 49Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.4%Housing insecurity
- 18.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.3%Food insecurity
- 36.8%SNAP enrollment
- 17.9%Transit barriers
- 26.2%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 37.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Aurora
The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Food insecurity runs 38.3% against 17.8% nationally.
Set annual rent against average income of $50,986 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Adults with no health insurance runs 26.2% against 11.3% nationally. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2.5/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the Kane County average of 4.1. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 3/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 123 filings here across 3 tracked years. At $1,412 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Aurora commands.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 4.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Aurora. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17089853200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089853200?
Census tract 17089853200 in Aurora scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17089853200?
Median gross rent is $1,412/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17089853200?
21.3% of residents in tract 17089853200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,861.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17089853200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 94th, minority 87th, housing 78th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17089853200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 123 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 17089853200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.91% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 17089853200 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17089853200 compare to Aurora overall?
Tract 17089853200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 17089853200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aurora
Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Scraper-Moecherville
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Scraper-Moecherville
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Scraper-Moecherville
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Scraper-Moecherville
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Scraper-Moecherville
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Exposition View
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
South Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Marywood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related