Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,320 of 84,120 nationally

Scraper-Moecherville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aurora

Tract 17089853602 · Kane County, IL · pop 3,313 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 17089853602 sits in the Scraper-Moecherville neighborhood of Aurora, Illinois. It has a population of 3,313 and an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). 57% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 46% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $862/month against a median household income of $41,049 — roughly 25% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 23% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,146
Renter share54.3%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate22.5%
Median income$41,049

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
89 th percentile
Rank — 89th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 10 tracts In Scraper-Moecherville
High
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank — 90th percentileBottomTop
#5 of 41 tracts In Aurora
Very High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank — 75th percentileBottomTop
#27 of 104 tracts In Kane County
Elevated
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank — 64th percentileBottomTop
#1,182 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 41.7524, -88.2922 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scraper-Moecherville scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
22.5% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$862 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
3.5

How Scraper-Moecherville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Scraper-Moecherville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 853602Aurora: 4.54.5Auroraparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.45.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D — Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Scraper-Moecherville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 17089853602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089853602?

Census tract 17089853602 in the Scraper-Moecherville neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17089853602?

Median gross rent is $862/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17089853602?

22.5% of residents in tract 17089853602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,313.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17089853602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 66th, minority 96th, housing 54th.

Q5

Is tract 17089853602 considered part of Scraper-Moecherville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089853602 fall within Scraper-Moecherville (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

Q6

What share of households in tract 17089853602 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.4% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 17089853602 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 17089853602 scores 5.6/10 — higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q8

Was tract 17089853602 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 63% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related