Neighborhood · Elgin, IL

Providence Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,941 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.4/10 · range 1.4–1.4

Providence is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Elgin with 1 census tract and a population of 4,941 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.4/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 100% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 0% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income).

Risk score

1.4

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Providence vs Elgin How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

100.0% +239%

Elgin: 29.5%

Average gross rent

$0 -100%

Elgin: $1,361

Average HH income

$167,991 +90%

Elgin: $88,316

Poverty rate

3.9% -63%

Elgin: 10.4%

Renter share

3.7% -87%

Elgin: 28.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.4–1.4

Why Providence scores 1.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Rent control risk

100% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

4% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

3.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Risk score comparison

Providence vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Providence

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
17089851911	1.4	4,941	100%	—

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 6

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 6%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 32%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 53%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 5%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Providence

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.2%Housing insecurity
4.8%Utility shutoff threat
8.2%Food insecurity
6.2%SNAP enrollment
5.6%No health insurance
17.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Providence

What is the eviction-risk score for Providence?

Providence scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Providence compare to Elgin overall?

Providence scores 2.8 points lower than Elgin overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 100% of income on rent vs 30% citywide.

What percentage of Providence residents are renters?

4% of Providence households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Elgin). The neighborhood has 4,941 residents.

Is Providence a high social-vulnerability area?

Providence sits in the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Providence for landlords?

Providence carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Elgin as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Providence?

Providence has 5,177 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.1%), Hispanic / Latino (14.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Providence

3.3 Elgin Historic District 7 tracts · pop 31,969 2.9 Fox River Bluffs 2 tracts · pop 6,394 2.9 Exposition View 5 tracts · pop 20,565 2.9 Marywood 3 tracts · pop 16,275 3.2 Scraper-Moecherville 10 tracts · pop 41,831 3.4 South Park 3 tracts · pop 11,315

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Elgin

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Providence.

1.4 Tamara Heights 1 tracts · pop 4,036 1.3 Stonecrest 1 tracts · pop 3,897 1.6 Waterford 1 tracts · pop 5,219 1.6 Woodbridge South 1 tracts · pop 9,282 1.8 Fox River Bluffs 1 tracts · pop 6,913 2 Valley Creek 1 tracts · pop 4,310

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