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Neighborhood · Aurora, IL

South Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 11,315 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5–5.4

South Park takes in 3 census tracts of Aurora, IL, population 11,315. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.3/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 46% against 28.2% citywide, putting South Park 18.0% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 27.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

SNAP participation is 31.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 2.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,321, 17% below the Aurora average of $1,596.

Court records carry 162 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 12.5% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.7% in 2011, is well off that peak. That places it #2 of 9 neighborhoods in Aurora.

For a like-for-like read, Exposition View and Scraper-Moecherville score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
South Park vs Aurora How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.2% +64%
Aurora: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$1,321 -17%
Aurora: $1,596
Average HH income
$63,974 -29%
Aurora: $90,109
Poverty rate
17.7% +80%
Aurora: 9.8%
Renter share
36.8% +10%
Aurora: 33.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5–5.4

Why South Park scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.8 across tracts
5.1
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 2.5–6.0 across tracts
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–5.1 across tracts
4.2
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 3.5–5.0 across tracts
3.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–5.4 across tracts
3.8
Economic stress
17.7% below poverty line · Range 1.7–6.5 across tracts
4.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–3.0 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

South Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.South Park: 5.35.3South ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in South Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.4 points from 5 to 5.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in South Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17089854200 5.4 4,670 43% $1,227
17089854100 5.4 4,565 53% $1,415
17089854401 5 2,080 39% $1,324
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 91%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 78%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Park

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 162Total filings (sum)
  • 5.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.5%Peak year (2009)
  • 2.72%Latest filed (2011)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Park?

South Park scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Park compare to Aurora overall?

South Park scores 1.3 points higher than Aurora overall (4/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,321 vs $1,596.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Park?

Average gross rent in South Park is $1,321/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Park residents are renters?

37% of South Park households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Aurora). The neighborhood has 11,315 residents.
Q5

Is South Park a high social-vulnerability area?

South Park sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Park is census tract 17089854200 (score 5.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5 to 5.4, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is South Park for landlords?

South Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aurora as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Park?

South Park has 11,037 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (78.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (16%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Aurora

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Park.

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