10 census tracts · pop 41,831 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10
· range 3.2–5.4
Scraper-Moecherville is a 10-tract neighborhood of Aurora, IL and houses 41,831 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.9/10, in the Moderate tier. 44% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Aurora rate of 28.2%.
Scores across the 10 constituent tracts range from 3.2 to 5.4. A 2.2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. 19% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 26.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10.
On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.5/10. At $1,301 a month, rents sit 18% under what the rest of Aurora commands.
SNAP participation is 27.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Filings are well documented here: 142 across 4 observed tracts.
Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 5.8% of renter households. Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Aurora, it ranks #3 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 1.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.9 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
10 tracts · population-weighted
Scraper-Moecherville vs AuroraHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Scraper-Moecherville
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
142Total filings (sum)
2.74%Avg annual filing rate
5.8%Peak year (2011)
2.60%Latest filed (2011)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Scraper-Moecherville
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
25.6%Housing insecurity
13.7%Utility shutoff threat
31.5%Food insecurity
26.0%SNAP enrollment
26.6%No health insurance
33.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Scraper-Moecherville
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Scraper-Moecherville?
Scraper-Moecherville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 10 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Scraper-Moecherville compare to Aurora overall?
Scraper-Moecherville scores 0.9 points higher than Aurora overall (4/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,301 vs $1,596.
Q3
What is the average rent in Scraper-Moecherville?
Average gross rent in Scraper-Moecherville is $1,301/month (pop-weighted across 10 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Scraper-Moecherville residents are renters?
42% of Scraper-Moecherville households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Aurora). The neighborhood has 41,831 residents.
Q5
Is Scraper-Moecherville a high social-vulnerability area?
Scraper-Moecherville sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Scraper-Moecherville have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Scraper-Moecherville is census tract 17089853402 (score 5.4/10). Across the 10 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 5.4, a spread of 2.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Scraper-Moecherville for landlords?
Scraper-Moecherville carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 10 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aurora as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Scraper-Moecherville?
Scraper-Moecherville has 41,369 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (77.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
