Neighborhood · Aurora, IL

Scraper-Moecherville Eviction Risk: Lower

10 census tracts · pop 41,831 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 1.7–4.4

Scraper-Moecherville is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Aurora with 10 census tracts and a population of 41,831 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 44% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 19% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,301/month sits 18% lower than the Aurora citywide average ($1,596).

Risk score

3.1

Lower

10 tracts · population-weighted

Scraper-Moecherville vs Aurora How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

43.9% +56%

Aurora: 28.2%

Average gross rent

$1,301 -18%

Aurora: $1,596

Average HH income

$74,227 -18%

Aurora: $90,109

Poverty rate

13.7% +40%

Aurora: 9.8%

Renter share

42.4% +26%

Aurora: 33.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Scraper-Moecherville and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 10 tracts span score 1.7–4.4

Why Scraper-Moecherville scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Rent control risk

44% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

42% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

13.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–6.5 across tracts

3.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.8 across tracts

2.5

Risk score comparison

Scraper-Moecherville vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Scraper-Moecherville?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.7 points from 1.7 to 4.4. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

4.4 4.3 3.8 3.3 3.3 3.1 2.8 2.6 2.3 1.7

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

10 tracts in Scraper-Moecherville

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
17089852904	4.4	2,608	62%	$925
17089853602	4.3	3,313	57%	$862
17089853402	3.8	4,541	37%	$1,178
17089853401	3.3	2,600	46%	$1,226
17089853601	3.3	2,581	38%	$1,153
17089854403	3.1	8,315	32%	$1,717
17089853500	2.8	5,003	55%	$1,414
17089854301	2.6	5,698	44%	$1,379
17089854302	2.3	4,796	38%	$1,198
17089854402	1.7	2,376	51%	$1,124

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 10 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 83%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 71%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 41%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Scraper-Moecherville

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

142Total filings (sum)
2.74%Avg annual filing rate
5.8%Peak year (2011)
2.60%Latest filed (2011)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Scraper-Moecherville

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

25.6%Housing insecurity
13.7%Utility shutoff threat
31.5%Food insecurity
26.0%SNAP enrollment
26.6%No health insurance
33.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Scraper-Moecherville

What is the eviction-risk score for Scraper-Moecherville?

Scraper-Moecherville scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 10 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Scraper-Moecherville compare to Aurora overall?

Scraper-Moecherville scores 1.1 points lower than Aurora overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,301 vs $1,596.

What is the average rent in Scraper-Moecherville?

Average gross rent in Scraper-Moecherville is $1,301/month (pop-weighted across 10 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Scraper-Moecherville residents are renters?

42% of Scraper-Moecherville households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Aurora). The neighborhood has 41,831 residents.

Is Scraper-Moecherville a high social-vulnerability area?

Scraper-Moecherville sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Scraper-Moecherville have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Scraper-Moecherville is census tract 17089852904 (score 4.4/10). Across the 10 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.7 to 4.4, a spread of 2.7 points.

How safe is Scraper-Moecherville for landlords?

Scraper-Moecherville carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 10 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aurora as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Scraper-Moecherville?

Scraper-Moecherville has 41,369 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (77.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Scraper-Moecherville

3.4 South Park 3 tracts · pop 11,315 2.9 Marywood 3 tracts · pop 16,275 2.9 Exposition View 5 tracts · pop 20,565 3.3 Elgin Historic District 7 tracts · pop 31,969 2.9 Fox River Bluffs 2 tracts · pop 6,394

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Aurora

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Scraper-Moecherville.

2.9 Marywood 3 tracts · pop 16,275 2.9 Exposition View 5 tracts · pop 20,565 3.6 South Park 3 tracts · pop 11,315 2 Frontenac 5 tracts · pop 22,432 1.7 Haven on Long Grove 2 tracts · pop 11,170 1.5 Prescott Mill 1 tracts · pop 6,180

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