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Neighborhood · Aurora, IL

Scraper-Moecherville Eviction Risk: Moderate

10 census tracts · pop 41,831 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 4.7–5.7

Scraper-Moecherville is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Aurora with 10 census tracts and a population of 41,831 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 44% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 19% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,301/month sits 18% lower than the Aurora citywide median ($1,596).

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
10 tracts · population-weighted
Scraper-Moecherville vs Aurora How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.9% +56%
Aurora: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$1,301 -18%
Aurora: $1,596
Average HH income
$74,227 -18%
Aurora: $90,109
Poverty rate
13.7% +40%
Aurora: 9.8%
Renter share
42.4% +26%
Aurora: 33.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Scraper-Moecherville and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 10 tracts span score 4.7–5.7

Why Scraper-Moecherville scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
42% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
13.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–6.5 across tracts
3.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.8 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Scraper-Moecherville vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Scraper-Moecherville score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Scraper-Moechervil: 5.15.1Scraper-MoechervilNeighborhoodParent city: 4.54.5Parent cityhost cityState: 5.75.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Scraper-Moecherville?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.0 points from 4.7 to 5.7. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

10 tracts in Scraper-Moecherville

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17089852904 5.7 2,608 62% $925
17089853602 5.6 3,313 57% $862
17089853500 5.3 5,003 55% $1,414
17089853401 5.3 2,600 46% $1,226
17089853402 5.2 4,541 37% $1,178
17089854301 5.1 5,698 44% $1,379
17089854403 5.0 8,315 32% $1,717
17089853601 5.0 2,581 38% $1,153
17089854402 5.0 2,376 51% $1,124
17089854302 4.7 4,796 38% $1,198
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 10 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 83%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 71%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Scraper-Moecherville

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 142Total filings (sum)
  • 2.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.8%Peak year (2011)
  • 2.60%Latest filed (2011)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Scraper-Moecherville

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Scraper-Moecherville

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Scraper-Moecherville?

Scraper-Moecherville scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 10 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Scraper-Moecherville compare to Aurora overall?

Scraper-Moecherville scores 0.6 points higher than Aurora overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Median rent: $1,301 vs $1,596.

Q3

What is the average rent in Scraper-Moecherville?

Median gross rent in Scraper-Moecherville is $1,301/month (pop-weighted across 10 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Scraper-Moecherville residents are renters?

42% of Scraper-Moecherville households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Aurora). The neighborhood has 41,831 residents.

Q5

Is Scraper-Moecherville a high social-vulnerability area?

Scraper-Moecherville sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Scraper-Moecherville have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Scraper-Moecherville is census tract 17089852904 (score 5.7/10). Across the 10 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 5.7 — a spread of 1.0 points.

Q7

How safe is Scraper-Moecherville for landlords?

Scraper-Moecherville carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 10 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aurora as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Scraper-Moecherville?

Scraper-Moecherville has 41,369 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (77.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Scraper-Moecherville

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Aurora

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Scraper-Moecherville.

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