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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Northgate Eviction Risk: Lower , Springfield

Tract 17167000501 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 2,541 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 3.4/10, tract 17167000501 in the Northgate area of Springfield, IL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,541 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2.5/10.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 4% Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,018
Renter share5.7%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$100,865

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Northgate
Very Low
Within parent city
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 39 tracts In Springfield
Low
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 54 tracts In Sangamon County
Low
Within state
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#2,555 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.8379, -89.6108 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northgate scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,130 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
4.0

How Northgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northgate risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 0005014.0Springfieldparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northgate

Running cool, economic stress reads 2.8/10. Against Sangamon County at 38.5%, around a third of renters here are cost-burdened.

Average gross rent is $1,130, 16% above the Springfield average. Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against the Sangamon County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 6% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.6/10. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $100,865, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167000501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167000501?

Census tract 17167000501 in the Northgate neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17167000501?

Median gross rent is $1,130/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167000501?

11.0% of residents in tract 17167000501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,541.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167000501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 79th, minority 22th, housing 10th.
Q5

Is tract 17167000501 considered part of Northgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167000501 fall within Northgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17167000501 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17167000501 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167000501 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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