Churchill's Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Rockford

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10.

It sits 1.1 points below the Winnebago County average of 4.3. At $1,123 a month, rents run 14% over what the rest of Rockford commands. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $80,774, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 42% of renters. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.