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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Elkhart Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 18039001702 · Elkhart County, IN · pop 4,972 · 66% of tract blocks fall in Elkhart

Census tract 18039001702 covers part of Elkhart, IN, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,972. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 24% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,245
Renter share38.3%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$46,438

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 20 tracts In Elkhart
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 45 tracts In Elkhart County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#292 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elkhart and the region

Centroid at 41.7099, -85.9608 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elkhart scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elkhart
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,046 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elkhart
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elkhart
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elkhart
7.3

How Elkhart compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elkhart risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0017024.0Elkhartparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elkhart

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2/10. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against the Elkhart County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Elkhart County average of 40.7%. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.6/10. Statewide the IN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,046, close to the Elkhart average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $46,438.

38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 18039001702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039001702?

Census tract 18039001702 in Elkhart scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18039001702?

Median gross rent is $1,046/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18039001702?

14.5% of residents in tract 18039001702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,972.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18039001702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 98th, minority 44th, housing 90th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 18039001702 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 18039001702 compare to Elkhart overall?

Tract 18039001702 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Elkhart at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elkhart eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elkhart

Top eight tracts in Elkhart ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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