Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Drake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153002800 · Polk County, IA · pop 3,422 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 19153002800 covers part of the Drake area of Des Moines, IA, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,525
Renter share34.7%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate17.2%
Median income$59,971
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5966, -93.6648 · click any tract to drill in
Why Drake scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
17.2% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,044 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Drake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 88%Grade A
- 12%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 514Total filings over 10 yrs
- 6.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.1%Peak (2007)
- 50Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Drake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 11.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Drake
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Against the Polk County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Polk County average of 42.0%. The filing record is not thin: 514 evictions over 10 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2007, when 9.1% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IA average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
Average gross rent is $1,044, close to the Des Moines average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $59,971.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153002800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153002800?
Census tract 19153002800 in the Drake neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153002800?
Median gross rent is $1,044/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153002800?
17.2% of residents in tract 19153002800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,422.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153002800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 28th, minority 34th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 19153002800 considered part of Drake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153002800 fall within Drake (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153002800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 514 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153002800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.47% of renter households, peaking at 9.1% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153002800 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153002800 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153002800 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153002800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Prospect Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
South Central DSM
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Drake Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Sherman Hill
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Watrous South
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Somerset
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
River Bend
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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