Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
McKinley School/Columbus Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153004200 · Polk County, IA · pop 2,903 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 19153004200 in the McKinley School/Columbus Park area of Des Moines, IA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,903. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,536
Renter share59.6%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$55,822
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
37
th percentile
Low
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5730, -93.6124 · click any tract to drill in
Why McKinley School/Columbus Park scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,018 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How McKinley School/Columbus Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 11%Grade B
- 21%Grade C
- 63%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 324Total filings over 10 yrs
- 10.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.1%Peak (2014)
- 34Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 70% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.8%Food insecurity
- 12.7%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 28.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McKinley School/Columbus Park
19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 324 filings here across 10 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 15.1% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 10.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 39% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153004200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153004200?
Census tract 19153004200 in the McKinley School/Columbus Park neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153004200?
Median gross rent is $1,018/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153004200?
9.9% of residents in tract 19153004200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,903.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153004200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 79th, minority 56th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 19153004200 considered part of McKinley School/Columbus Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153004200 fall within McKinley School/Columbus Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153004200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 324 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153004200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.30% of renter households, peaking at 15.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153004200 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153004200 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153004200 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153004200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 63% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Avon Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Oak Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Indianola Hills
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Prospect Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
South Central DSM
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Drake Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Sherman Hill
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Drake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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