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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111011713 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,245

21111011713 is a census tract in Louisville, KY. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,245. Cost burden runs 73% here against 42.9% across Jefferson County.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 17% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,177
Renter share62.5%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate30.6%
Median income$39,988

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Very High
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#63 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#194 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.0968, -85.6987 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
30.6% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$1,232 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0117133.5Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,441Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 23.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 45.5%Peak (2013)
  • 110Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111011713
Filings climbed 25% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. Set annual rent against average income of $39,988 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.8/10. It sits 0.9 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.0.

Court records carry 1,441 eviction filings across 14 observed years. At $1,232 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Louisville commands.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 45.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 23.8% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111011713

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111011713?

Census tract 21111011713 in Louisville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111011713?

Median gross rent is $1,232/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111011713?

30.6% of residents in tract 21111011713 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,245.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111011713?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 88th, minority 51th, housing 47th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111011713?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,441 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111011713 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.76% of renter households, peaking at 45.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111011713 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111011713 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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