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Census Tract · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111009105 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,240

Here is how census tract 21111009105, in Louisville eviction risk/Jefferson County metro government (balance), looks to a landlord: a 5.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,240. That is riskier than about 72% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $953 a month against an average household income of $35,694 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 29% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,121
Renter share52.8%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate33.1%
Median income$35,694

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Very High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#37 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#362 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Elevated
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#22,213 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.1298, -85.7624 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
33.1% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$953 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 009105Louisville: 2.42.4Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,222Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 45.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 71.7%Peak (2008)
  • 113Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110091052002: 143 filings (32.20/100 renter HHs)2003: 295 filings (66.42/100 renter HHs)2004: 246 filings (55.39/100 renter HHs)2005: 251 filings (58.81/100 renter HHs)2006: 302 filings (70.76/100 renter HHs)2007: 284 filings (66.54/100 renter HHs)2008: 306 filings (71.70/100 renter HHs)2009: 279 filings (65.37/100 renter HHs)2010: 281 filings (39.36/100 renter HHs)2011: 258 filings (34.82/100 renter HHs)2012: 200 filings (26.99/100 renter HHs)2013: 153 filings (20.65/100 renter HHs)2014: 111 filings (14.98/100 renter HHs)2015: 113 filings (15.25/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk/Jefferson County metro government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,222 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 45.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 71.7% of renter households in 2008.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111009105

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111009105?

Census tract 21111009105 in Louisville scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111009105?

Median gross rent is $953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111009105?

33.1% of residents in tract 21111009105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,240.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111009105?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 49th, minority 59th, housing 70th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111009105?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,222 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111009105 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 45.66% of renter households, peaking at 71.7% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111009105 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111009105 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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