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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111009105 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,240

Census tract 21111009105 covers part of Louisville, KY, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,240 residents. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 29% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,121
Renter share52.8%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate33.1%
Median income$35,694

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Very High
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#61 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#194 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.1298, -85.7624 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
33.1% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$953 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0091053.5Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,222Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 45.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 71.7%Peak (2008)
  • 113Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111009105
Filings dropped 21% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $35,694, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.3/10.

Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,222 filings here across 14 tracked years. At $953 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Louisville commands.

The worst year on record was 2008, when 71.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 45.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111009105

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111009105?

Census tract 21111009105 in Louisville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111009105?

Median gross rent is $953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111009105?

33.1% of residents in tract 21111009105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,240.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111009105?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 49th, minority 59th, housing 70th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111009105?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,222 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111009105 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 45.66% of renter households, peaking at 71.7% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111009105 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111009105 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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