Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21111012502 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 4,305
21111012502 is a census tract in Louisville, KY. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,305. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,727
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate33.0%
Median income$54,688
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
85
th percentile
High
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Louisville and the region
Centroid at 38.1595, -85.8396 · click any tract to drill in
Why Louisville scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
33.0% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$892 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0
How Louisville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,676Total filings over 14 yrs
- 13.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.0%Peak (2014)
- 130Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 26% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Louisville
73% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Jefferson County average of 42.9%. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.2/10.
The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.3/10.
Average gross rent is $892, 20% below the Louisville average. It sits 0.9 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.0. Court records carry 1,676 eviction filings across 14 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 16.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 13.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111012502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012502?
Census tract 21111012502 in Louisville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111012502?
Median gross rent is $892/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012502?
33.0% of residents in tract 21111012502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,305.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 77th, minority 51th, housing 75th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111012502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,676 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111012502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.10% of renter households, peaking at 16.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 21111012502 compare to Louisville overall?
Tract 21111012502 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Louisville
Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · KY
21111011710
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111012701
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111011007
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111012702
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111011713
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111012801
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
South Park View
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111011904
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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