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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111011909 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,458

21111011909 is a census tract in Louisville, KY. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 25% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,401
Renter share45.4%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$42,662

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 90 tracts In Louisville
High
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#194 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.1232, -85.6846 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$883 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0119093.5Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Average gross rent is $883, 21% below the Louisville average. It sits 0.9 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.0. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $42,662.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111011909

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111011909?

Census tract 21111011909 in Louisville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111011909?

Median gross rent is $883/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111011909?

26.7% of residents in tract 21111011909 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,458.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111011909?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 95th, minority 38th, housing 39th.
Q5

How does tract 21111011909 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111011909 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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