Within parent city
99
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21111011404 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,946 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Louisville
Census tract 21111011404 belongs to Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance) in Jefferson County, Kentucky. It is home to 3,946 residents and scores 6.2/10, an elevated reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #16,330 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $894 a month against an average household income of $33,350 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 67% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,863
Renter share66.5%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate40.1%
Median income$33,350
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
77
th percentile
High
National
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Louisville and the region
Centroid at 38.1764, -85.7046 · click any tract to drill in
Why Louisville scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
40.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$894 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0
How Louisville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4,927Total filings over 14 yrs
- 38.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 54.0%Peak (2007)
- 282Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Louisville
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk/Jefferson County metro government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 4,927 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 38.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 54.0% of renter households in 2007.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111011404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111011404?
Census tract 21111011404 in Louisville scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111011404?
Median gross rent is $894/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111011404?
40.1% of residents in tract 21111011404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,946.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111011404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 96th, minority 75th, housing 68th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111011404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4,927 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111011404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.15% of renter households, peaking at 54.0% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 21111011404 compare to Louisville overall?
Tract 21111011404 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Louisville
Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · KY
21111012701
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
21111011713
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111009105
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
South Park View
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
South Park View
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111012502
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111011909
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111012413
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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