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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111011404 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,946 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Louisville

21111011404 is a census tract in Louisville, KY. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,946. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 26% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,863
Renter share66.5%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate40.1%
Median income$33,350

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Very High
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#194 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.1764, -85.7046 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
40.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$894 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0114043.5Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,927Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 38.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 54.0%Peak (2007)
  • 282Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111011404
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Jefferson County average of 42.9%. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10. Set annual rent against average income of $33,350 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. At $894 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Louisville commands. It sits 0.9 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.0.

The filing record is not thin: 4,927 evictions over 14 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2007, when 54.0% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 38.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111011404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111011404?

Census tract 21111011404 in Louisville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111011404?

Median gross rent is $894/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111011404?

40.1% of residents in tract 21111011404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,946.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111011404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 96th, minority 75th, housing 68th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111011404?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4,927 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111011404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.15% of renter households, peaking at 54.0% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111011404 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111011404 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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