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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111012413 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,831

Census tract 21111012413 covers part of Louisville, KY, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,831 residents. 90% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 2% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,351
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate31.7%
Median income$62,731

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 90 tracts In Louisville
High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#194 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.1577, -85.8795 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
31.7% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,720 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0124133.5Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

Against Jefferson County at 42.9%, 90% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,720 a month, rents run 54% over what the rest of Louisville commands.

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. The voucher gap is 29.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Set annual rent against average income of $62,731 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.8/10. It sits 0.9 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.0. Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111012413

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012413?

Census tract 21111012413 in Louisville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111012413?

Median gross rent is $1,720/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 90% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012413?

31.7% of residents in tract 21111012413 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,831.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012413?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 48th, minority 42th, housing 11th.
Q5

How does tract 21111012413 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111012413 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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