Census Tract · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111012413 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,831

How risky is Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance) in Jefferson County for landlords? Census tract 21111012413 scores 6.3/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 83rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 90% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 90% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,720 monthly, set against $62,731 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 2% Owners 81%

Tract context

Occupied units1,351

Renter share18.9%

SVI overall0.34

Poverty rate31.7%

Median income$62,731

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.1577, -85.8795 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Louisville

6.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.0

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

31.7% poverty · this tract

7.9

Supply constraint

$1,720 rent vs county FMR

7.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Louisville

1.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Louisville

3.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Louisville

3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
48%Household composition
42%Racial/ethnic minority
11%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk/Jefferson County metro government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111012413

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012413?

Census tract 21111012413 in Louisville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21111012413?

Median gross rent is $1,720/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 90% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012413?

31.7% of residents in tract 21111012413 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,831.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012413?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 48th, minority 42th, housing 11th.

How does tract 21111012413 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111012413 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.