Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21111012205 ·
Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,845
21111012205 is a census tract in Louisville, KY. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,845. Against Jefferson County at 42.9%, 84% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%Stable renters 7%Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units659
Renter share44.9%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate27.7%
Median income$40,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
87th percentile
#13 of 90 tracts In Louisville
High
Within county
74th percentile
#58 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Elevated
Within state
85th percentile
#194 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
National
59th percentile
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Louisville and the region
Centroid at 38.1351, -85.7811 · click any tract to drill in
Why Louisville scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
27.7% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,102 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0
How Louisville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $40,417, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.8/10.
It sits 0.9 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.0. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,102, close to the Louisville average. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111012205
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012205?
Census tract 21111012205 in Louisville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111012205?
Median gross rent is $1,102/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012205?
27.7% of residents in tract 21111012205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,845.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012205?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 99th, minority 59th, housing 32th.
Q5
How does tract 21111012205 compare to Louisville overall?
Tract 21111012205 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Louisville
Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.