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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111000800 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,917

Census tract 21111000800 covers part of Louisville, KY, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,917 residents. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 10% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units922
Renter share37.6%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate32.1%
Median income$41,356

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Very High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2593, -85.8270 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
32.1% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$995 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0008004.0Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 706Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 18.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.7%Peak (2014)
  • 64Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111000800
Filings climbed 64% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

Cost burden runs about three-quarters here against 42.9% across Jefferson County. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

On the high side, economic stress reads 8/10. The filing record is not thin: 706 evictions over 14 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2014, when 24.7% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 18.3% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111000800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111000800?

Census tract 21111000800 in Louisville scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111000800?

Median gross rent is $995/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111000800?

32.1% of residents in tract 21111000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,917.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111000800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 85th, minority 92th, housing 35th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111000800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 706 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111000800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.25% of renter households, peaking at 24.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111000800 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111000800 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21111000800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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