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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

New Auburn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lewiston

Tract 23001020302 · Androscoggin County, ME · pop 2,197 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 23001020302 in the New Auburn area of Lewiston, ME reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. SNAP participation runs 35.5% against 15.2% nationally.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 43% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,107
Renter share67.1%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate28.0%
Median income$55,040

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 9 tracts In New Auburn
Elevated
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 13 tracts In Lewiston
High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 32 tracts In Androscoggin County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 401 tracts In Maine
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lewiston and the region

Centroid at 44.0995, -70.2031 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Auburn scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lewiston
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
28.0% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$978 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lewiston
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lewiston
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lewiston
5.0

How New Auburn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Auburn risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0203024.3Lewistonparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within New Auburn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Auburn

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2.7/10. Against the Androscoggin County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Cost burden runs around a third here against 41.2% across Androscoggin County.

Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 7/10. Housing insecurity runs 21.2% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 23001020302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23001020302?

Census tract 23001020302 in the New Auburn neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 23001020302?

Median gross rent is $978/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 23001020302?

28.0% of residents in tract 23001020302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,197.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 23001020302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 96th, minority 38th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 23001020302 considered part of New Auburn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23001020302 fall within New Auburn (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 23001020302 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 23001020302 compare to Lewiston overall?

Tract 23001020302 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lewiston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lewiston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lewiston

Top eight tracts in Lewiston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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