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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

New Auburn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lewiston

Tract 23001020303 · Androscoggin County, ME · pop 1,928 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 23001020303 in the New Auburn area of Lewiston, ME reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,928 residents. Cost burden runs 69% here against 41.2% across Androscoggin County.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 68% Stable renters 31% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units959
Renter share99.0%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate23.7%
Median income$30,567

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 tracts In New Auburn
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 13 tracts In Lewiston
Elevated
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 32 tracts In Androscoggin County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 401 tracts In Maine
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lewiston and the region

Centroid at 44.0982, -70.2101 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Auburn scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lewiston
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
23.7% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,064 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lewiston
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lewiston
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lewiston
5.0

How New Auburn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Auburn risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0203034.3Lewistonparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within New Auburn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Auburn

The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $30,567, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Food insecurity runs 36.8% against 17.8% nationally. Disability prevalence runs 46.0% against 31.5% nationally.

The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Androscoggin County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,064, close to the Lewiston average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 23001020303

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23001020303?

Census tract 23001020303 in the New Auburn neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 23001020303?

Median gross rent is $1,064/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 23001020303?

23.7% of residents in tract 23001020303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,928.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 23001020303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 46th, minority 50th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 23001020303 considered part of New Auburn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23001020303 fall within New Auburn (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 23001020303 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 23001020303 compare to Lewiston overall?

Tract 23001020303 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lewiston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lewiston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lewiston

Top eight tracts in Lewiston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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