Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Waterville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 23011024202 · Kennebec County, ME · pop 3,674
Waterville anchors census tract 23011024202, which lands at 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 81% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,024 a month against an average household income of $45,000 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,082
Renter share36.3%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$45,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
National
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waterville and the region
Centroid at 44.5323, -69.6714 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterville scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waterville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,024 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waterville
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waterville
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waterville
7.7
How Waterville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 13.5%SNAP enrollment
- 10.0%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 21.3%Frequent mental distress
- 37.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waterville
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Waterville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Kennebec County average of 5.2 and above the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 23011024202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23011024202?
Census tract 23011024202 in Waterville scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23011024202?
Median gross rent is $1,024/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23011024202?
16.0% of residents in tract 23011024202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,674.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23011024202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 11th, minority 39th, housing 91th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 23011024202 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 23011024202 compare to Waterville overall?
Tract 23011024202 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Waterville at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waterville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Waterville
Top eight tracts in Waterville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related