Waterville Eviction Risk: Elevated

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Kennebec County average of 37.6%.

The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.7/10. SNAP participation runs 26.9% against 15.2% nationally.

On the high side, economic stress reads 7.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $939, close to the Waterville average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $50,055.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.