Seton Hill Eviction Risk: High

Severe burden reaches 29%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 28%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 27.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 33.3% of adults, 15.5 points above the national rate.

Against a Baltimore baseline of 32.0%, 39% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. At $1,139 a month, rents sit 14% under what the rest of Baltimore commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7/10. Among the 157 mapped neighborhoods of Baltimore, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Easterwood and Darley Park. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

One tract means one number: 8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.