Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally

Oaks of Harford Eviction Risk: Lower , Bel Air South

Tract 24025301204 · Harford County, MD · pop 4,204 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Oaks of Harford in Bel Air South anchors census tract 24025301204, which lands at 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 68% of US census tracts.

About 36% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,994 a month while the average household earns $124,682 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.

Risk score

1.2

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 19% Owners 70%

Tract context

Occupied units1,557

Renter share29.4%

SVI overall0.09

Poverty rate0.7%

Median income$124,682

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bel Air South and the region

Centroid at 39.4666, -76.3228 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oaks of Harford scores 1.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bel Air South

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

0.7% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,994 rent vs county FMR

5.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bel Air South

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bel Air South

4.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bel Air South

4.2

How Oaks of Harford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

15%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
55%Racial/ethnic minority
25%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.4%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
10.1%Food insecurity
7.3%SNAP enrollment
6.0%Transit barriers
6.5%No health insurance
16.8%Frequent mental distress
19.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oaks of Harford

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bel Air South eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harford County average of 6.0 and below the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 24025301204

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025301204?

Census tract 24025301204 in the Oaks of Harford neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24025301204?

Median gross rent is $1,994/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24025301204?

0.7% of residents in tract 24025301204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,204.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24025301204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 4th, minority 55th, housing 25th.

Is tract 24025301204 considered part of Oaks of Harford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025301204 fall within Oaks of Harford (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24025301204 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24025301204 compare to Bel Air South overall?

Tract 24025301204 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Bel Air South at 5.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bel Air South eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bel Air South

Top eight tracts in Bel Air South ranked by composite eviction-risk score.