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Neighborhood · Seabrook, MD

Greenwood Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 19,685 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 3.8–5.2

Greenwood Forest spans 4 census tracts of Seabrook, MD, population 19,685. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.5/10, Moderate tier. 43% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Seabrook rate of 29.6%.

Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.8 to 5.2, a 1.4-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 2.6/10.

Court records carry 4,678 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts. At $2,114 a month, rents sit 15% over what the rest of Seabrook commands.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 113.5% of renter households. Judgments average 1.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 27% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $100,702.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.4 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Greenwood Forest vs Seabrook How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.4% +47%
Seabrook: 29.6%
Average gross rent
$2,114 +15%
Seabrook: $1,840
Average HH income
$100,702 +5%
Seabrook: $96,033
Poverty rate
10.4% 0%
Seabrook: 10.4%
Renter share
27.0% -20%
Seabrook: 33.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Greenwood Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.8–5.2

Why Greenwood Forest scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 5.3–6.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.2–5.6 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 5.3–7.3 across tracts
6.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.3–5.6 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
10.4% below poverty line · Range 1.9–3.0 across tracts
2.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–6.0 across tracts
4.1
Risk score comparison

Greenwood Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Greenwood Forest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.5Greenwood ForestNeighborhood4.4Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Greenwood Forest?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.4 points from 3.8 to 5.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Greenwood Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24033806711 5.2 5,580 55% $1,847
24033803606 4.4 5,417 54% $2,549
24033800412 4.2 4,664 39% $1,771
24033803607 3.8 4,024 19% $2,298
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 68%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 74%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 56%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Greenwood Forest

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,678Total filings (sum)
  • 40.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 113.5%Peak year (2016)
  • 46.49%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Greenwood Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Greenwood Forest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Greenwood Forest?

Greenwood Forest scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Greenwood Forest compare to Seabrook overall?

Greenwood Forest scores 0.1 points higher than Seabrook overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,114 vs $1,840.
Q3

What is the average rent in Greenwood Forest?

Average gross rent in Greenwood Forest is $2,114/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Greenwood Forest residents are renters?

27% of Greenwood Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Seabrook). The neighborhood has 19,685 residents.
Q5

Is Greenwood Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Greenwood Forest sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Greenwood Forest have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Greenwood Forest is census tract 24033806711 (score 5.2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 5.2, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Greenwood Forest for landlords?

Greenwood Forest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Seabrook as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Greenwood Forest?

Greenwood Forest has 18,555 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (55.2%), Hispanic / Latino (29.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Greenwood Forest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Seabrook

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Greenwood Forest.

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