Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

South End Eviction Risk: Elevated , Hagerstown

Tract 24043000800 · Washington County, MD · pop 3,648 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 24043000800 covers part of the South End area of Hagerstown, MD, and scores 7.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,648 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.9/10.

Risk score

7.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 32% Owners 34%

Tract context

Occupied units1,749

Renter share65.8%

SVI overall0.74

Poverty rate31.7%

Median income$29,596

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hagerstown and the region

Centroid at 39.6322, -77.7281 · click any tract to drill in

Why South End scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Hagerstown

4.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

31.7% poverty · this tract

7.9

Supply constraint

$813 rent vs county FMR

1.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Hagerstown

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Hagerstown

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Hagerstown

7.7

How South End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

83%Socioeconomic
47%Household composition
50%Racial/ethnic minority
67%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.2%Housing insecurity
17.6%Utility-shutoff threat
31.4%Food insecurity
33.3%SNAP enrollment
15.6%Transit barriers
14.1%No health insurance
21.7%Frequent mental distress
43.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South End

Against the Washington County average of 5.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.5/10. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Set annual rent against average income of $29,596 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. At $813 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Hagerstown commands.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Washington County average of 42.4%.

Food insecurity runs 31.4% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 23.2% against 14.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24043000800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24043000800?

Census tract 24043000800 in the South End neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24043000800?

Median gross rent is $813/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24043000800?

31.7% of residents in tract 24043000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,648.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24043000800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 47th, minority 50th, housing 67th.

Is tract 24043000800 considered part of South End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24043000800 fall within South End (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24043000800 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24043000800 compare to Hagerstown overall?

Tract 24043000800 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Hagerstown at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hagerstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hagerstown

Top eight tracts in Hagerstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.