Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

South End Eviction Risk: Elevated , Hagerstown

Tract 24043000400 · Washington County, MD · pop 1,879 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 24043000400 sits in the South End area of Hagerstown eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. It is home to 1,879 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.9/10.

Risk score

7.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 49% Owners 14%

Tract context

Occupied units977

Renter share85.8%

SVI overall0.89

Poverty rate31.2%

Median income$25,041

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hagerstown and the region

Centroid at 39.6467, -77.7208 · click any tract to drill in

Why South End scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Hagerstown

4.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

31.2% poverty · this tract

7.8

Supply constraint

$613 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Hagerstown

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Hagerstown

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Hagerstown

7.7

How South End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
70%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
90%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

28.4%Housing insecurity
22.3%Utility-shutoff threat
37.6%Food insecurity
40.8%SNAP enrollment
19.1%Transit barriers
14.7%No health insurance
22.4%Frequent mental distress
44.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South End

At $613 a month, rents run 45% under what the rest of Hagerstown commands. Against the Washington County average of 5.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.5/10.

86% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Food insecurity runs 37.6% against 17.8% nationally.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 28.4% against 14.2% nationally.

Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24043000400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24043000400?

Census tract 24043000400 in the South End neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24043000400?

Median gross rent is $613/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24043000400?

31.2% of residents in tract 24043000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,879.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24043000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 70th, minority 72th, housing 90th.

Is tract 24043000400 considered part of South End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24043000400 fall within South End (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24043000400 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24043000400 compare to Hagerstown overall?

Tract 24043000400 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Hagerstown at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hagerstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hagerstown

Top eight tracts in Hagerstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.